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Model Output From the 'Frost Index' Permafrost Model: Variations in Circumpolar Frozen Ground Conditions and Modeled Future Conditions

Entry ID: ARCSS050

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Summary

Abstract: This data set contains permafrost distribution maps, active-layer thickness maps, and hazard-potential maps constructed using results from the 'frost index' permafrost model (Nelson and Outcalt, 1987) driven by modern climatic data and scenarios of climate change derived from three transient general circulation models (Greco et al., 1994). The permafrost maps show the distribution of permafrost in the Northern Hemisphere under modern climatic conditions and General Circulation Model (GCM) projections for 2050; the active-layer thickness maps show relative changes in the depth of seasonal thawing projected for 2050; and the hazard-potential maps are used as indices to evaluate potential environmental hazards associated with thaw settlement and thermokarst.

Related URL

Link: VIEW RELATED INFORMATION

Description: access to data and documentation

Geographic Coverage

(Click for Interactive Map)

Spatial coordinates

N: 83.5

S: 56.0

E: 180.0

W: -180.0

Data Set Citation

Dataset Originator/Creator: Frederick E. Nelson, Oleg A. Anisimov, and Nikolay I. Shiklomanov

Dataset Title: Model Output From the 'Frost Index' Permafrost Model: Variations in Circumpolar Frozen Ground Conditions and Modeled Future Conditions

Dataset Release Date: 2001-09-01

Dataset Release Place: Boulder, CO U.S.A.

Dataset Publisher: National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC)

Online Resource: http://nsidc.org/data/arcss050.html

Temporal Coverage

Start Date: 2000-11-27

Stop Date: 2050-12-31

Location Keywords

GEOGRAPHIC REGION > ARCTIC

GEOGRAPHIC REGION > POLAR

Science Keywords

CRYOSPHERE > SNOW/ICE > FROST

CRYOSPHERE > SNOW/ICE > PERMAFROST

ISO Topic Category

CLIMATOLOGY/METEOROLOGY/ATMOSPHERE

Platform

GROUND-BASED OBSERVATIONS

Instrument

VISUAL OBSERVATIONS

Project

ARCSS > Arctic System Science

ARCSS/LAII/FLUX > Arctic System Science/Land-Atmosphere-Ice Interaction/fluxes

NSF/OPP > Office of Polar Programs, National Science Foundation

Ancillary Keywords

2050

Active Layer

Data Set Progress

COMPLETE

Data Center

National Snow and Ice Data Center

Data Center URL: http://nsidc.org
Dataset ID: ARCSS050

Data Center Personnel
Name: NSIDC USER SERVICES Phone: +1 (303) 492-6199 Fax: +1 (303) 492-2468 Email: nsidc at nsidc.org Contact Address: National Snow and Ice Data Center CIRES, 449 UCB University of Colorado City: Boulder Province or State: CO Postal Code: 80309-0449 Country: USA

Arctic System Science Data Coordination Center

Data Center URL: http://nsidc.org/arcss/
Dataset ID: ARCSS050

Data Center Personnel
Name: NSIDC ARCSS USER SERVICES Phone: +1 (303) 492-6199 Fax: +1 (303) 492-2468 Email: nsidc at nsidc.org Contact Address: National Snow and Ice Data Center CIRES, 449 UCB University of Colorado City: Boulder Province or State: CO Postal Code: 80309-0449 Country: USA

Frozen Ground Data Center

Data Center URL: http://nsidc.org/fgdc/
Dataset ID: ARCSS050

Data Center Personnel
Name: NSIDC FGDC USER SERVICES Phone: +1 (303) 492-6199 Fax: +1 (303) 492-2468 Email: nsidc at nsidc.org Contact Address: National Snow and Ice Data Center CIRES, 449 UCB University of Colorado City: Boulder Province or State: CO Postal Code: 80309-0449 Country: USA

Distribution

Distribution Media: FTP

Distribution Size: 710 KB

Distribution Format: tarred, gzipped ASCII text files and JPG image files

Fees: none

Personnel

FREDERICK E. NELSON

Role: INVESTIGATOR

Phone: (302) 831-0582

Fax: (302) 831-6654

Email: fnelson at udel.edu

Contact Address:

University of Delaware

Department of Geography

018 Penny Hall

City: Newark

Province or State: DE

Postal Code: 19716

Country: USA

Publications/References

Anisimov, O. A. and Nelson, F. E., 1996: Permafrost distribution in the northern hemisphere under scenarios of climatic change. Global and Planetary Change, 14: 59-72. Anisimov, O. A. and Nelson, F. E., 1997: Permafrost zonation and climate change: results from transient general circulation models. Climatic Change, 35: 241-258. Anisimov O.A., and Poljakov V.Yu., 1999: Forecasting air ... temperature for the first quarter of the XXI century, Meteorology and Hydrology, 1999/2:. 25-31 (in Russian). Anisimov, O. A. and Poljakov, V. Yu., 2000: Computerized geocryological information system for studies of climate-permafrost interaction in the Northern Hemisphere. Published in: Proceedings of the American Geophysical Union, Fall meeting, San Francisco, 8-12 December 2000. Anisimov, O. A., Shiklomanov, N. I., and Nelson, F. E., 1997: Effects of global warming on permafrost and active-layer thickness: results from transient general circulation models. Global and Plane
tary Change, 15: 61-77. Brown, J., Ferrians, O. J. J., Heginbottom, J. A., and Melnikov, E. S., 1997: International Permafrost Association Circum-Arctic Map of Permafrost and Ground Ice Conditions. U.S. Geological Survey, Circum-Pacific Map Series, Map CP-45. Scale 1:10,000,000. Greco, S., Moss, R. H., Viner, D., Jenne, R., and Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, W. G. II., 1994: Climate Scenarios and Socioeconomic Projections for IPCC WG II Assessment. Washington, D.C.: Consortium for International Earth Science Information Network. 12 + maps, appendices, diskettes. Leemans, R. and Cramer, W., 1991: The IIASA Database for Mean Monthly Values of Temperature, Precipitation, and Cloudiness on a Global Terrestrial Grid. Research Report RR-91-18, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria, 62 pp. Nelson, F.E., Anisimov, O.A., and Shiklomanov, N.I., 2001: Climate change and hazard zonation in the circum-Arctic permafrost regions. Natural
Hazards, in press. Nelson, F.E., Anisimov, O.A., and Shiklomanov, N.
I., 2001: Subsidence risk from thawing permafrost. Nature 410: 889-890. Nelson, F. E. and Outcalt, S. I., 1987: A computational method for prediction and regionalization of permafrost. Arctic and Alpine Research, 19: 279-288. Scripter, M. W., 1970: Nested means map classes for statistical maps. Annals of the Association of American Geographers 60: 385-393. Staub, B. and Rosenzweig, C., 1987: Global Gridded Data Sets of Soil Type, Soil Texture, Surface Slope and Other Properties. Boulder, CO: National Center for Atmospheric Research. ('http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/seg/eco/cdroms/ged_iia/datasets/a11/sr.htm...> http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/seg/eco/cdroms/ged_iia/datasets/a11/sr.htm...)

Creation and Review Dates

DIF Creation Date: 2002-02-14

Last DIF Revision Date: 2010-12-15

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