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Record Search Query: ServiceParameters>DATA ANALYSIS AND VISUALIZATION>GEOGRAPHIC INFORMATION SYSTEMS

A GIS Based Small Area Urbanization Forecasting Model
Entry ID: SAFGIS
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Summary
Abstract: Reliable forecasts of population growth and housing development at the small
area level are indispensable to informed land use planning and the timely
provision of physical infrastructure and human services. Planning agencies in a
number of Australian states have developed models to provide such forecasts but
most are relatively old and inflexible. The model currently used in South
Australia employs a distributive technique based on the land use method.

This project aims to improve the analytic foundation of the current South
Australian model, thereby enhancing its utility and performance, by placing the
model in a GIS framework. The key objectives of this approach are:

-to enable incorporation of spatial referencing techniques, such as
adjacency and accessibility, as part of the equations that determine the
likelihood that a particular parcel of land will be developed; and

-to provide an interface that allows users to explore alternative patterns
of urban development.

Other advantages of adapting the small area forecasting model into a GIS
environment are being pursued simultaneously as part of the Centre research
program, and within DTUPA. These include:

-facilitating the assembly of input data on the characteristics of land
and housing from the South Australian Valuation File (the property register)
and Census sources; and

-developing tools to enhance visualization of forecast results.

[Summary provided by the University of Adelaide.]

Related URL
Link: GET DATA
Description: VRML animation of forecasts from the Small Area Urbanization Forecasting Model.
Service Citation
Originators: Department of Transport and Urban Planning and the Arts, University of Adelaide
Title: A GIS Based Small Area Urbanization Forecasting Model
Release_Date: 2000-12-01
Provider: University of Adelaide
URL: http://gisca.adelaide.edu.au/about_us/achived_publications/
ISO Topic Category
ENVIRONMENT
GEOSCIENTIFIC INFORMATION
IMAGERY/BASE MAPS/EARTH COVER
PLANNING CADASTRE
SOCIETY
Service Provider
Geographic Information Systems Cooperative of Adelaide, University of Adelaide

Service Provider Personnel
Name: GISCA
Phone: 61-8-8303-3900
Fax: 61-8-8303-3498
Email: gisca at gisca.adelaide.edu.au
Contact Address:
Level 7 & 8,
Napier Building
The University of Adelaide
City: Adelaide
Postal Code: SA 5005
Country: Australia
Personnel
TYLER B. STEVENS
Role: SERF AUTHOR
Phone: (301) 614-6898
Fax: 301-614-5268
Email: Tyler.B.Stevens at nasa.gov
Contact Address:
NASA Goddard Space Flight Center
Global Change Master Directory
City: Greenbelt
Province or State: MD
Postal Code: 20771
Country: USA

NEIL COFFEE
Role: TECHNICAL CONTACT
Phone: 61-8-8303-3900
Fax: 61-8-8303-3498
Email: ncoffee at gisca.adelaide.edu.au
Contact Address:
Level 7 & 8,
Napier Building
The University of Adelaide
City: Adelaide
Postal Code: SA 5005
Country: Australia
Creation and Review Dates
SERF Creation Date: 2005-03-07
SERF Last Revision Date: 2012-10-16
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